Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.811268e-05 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069 0.000078 0.000089
2025-02-09 2.958036e-05 0.000038 0.000048 0.000059 0.000073 0.000089 0.000107
2025-02-16 2.598387e-05 0.000036 0.000048 0.000063 0.000081 0.000103 0.000129
2025-02-23 2.164462e-05 0.000032 0.000045 0.000063 0.000084 0.000110 0.000143
2025-03-02 1.725689e-05 0.000028 0.000041 0.000060 0.000084 0.000113 0.000152
2025-03-09 1.421698e-05 0.000024 0.000038 0.000058 0.000084 0.000117 0.000161
2025-03-16 1.187224e-05 0.000022 0.000036 0.000057 0.000085 0.000122 0.000171
2025-03-23 1.013729e-05 0.000020 0.000034 0.000056 0.000087 0.000127 0.000181
2025-03-30 8.597094e-06 0.000018 0.000033 0.000055 0.000088 0.000131 0.000191
2025-04-06 7.057673e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000053 0.000087 0.000133 0.000198
2025-04-13 5.486797e-06 0.000014 0.000027 0.000050 0.000084 0.000132 0.000200
2025-04-20 4.460332e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000048 0.000084 0.000133 0.000205
2025-04-27 3.934427e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000050 0.000088 0.000143 0.000224
2025-05-04 3.231178e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000050 0.000090 0.000150 0.000238
2025-05-11 3.043834e-06 0.000010 0.000025 0.000053 0.000098 0.000163 0.000262
2025-05-18 2.492592e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000052 0.000099 0.000170 0.000276
2025-05-25 1.831327e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000050 0.000098 0.000170 0.000282
2025-06-01 1.393132e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000048 0.000097 0.000173 0.000291
2025-06-08 1.065309e-06 0.000006 0.000019 0.000047 0.000097 0.000176 0.000301
2025-06-15 8.355190e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000047 0.000099 0.000181 0.000313
2025-06-22 6.368139e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000046 0.000099 0.000185 0.000324
2025-06-29 4.466908e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000044 0.000098 0.000187 0.000330
2025-07-06 2.718606e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000041 0.000095 0.000184 0.000331